Paris Peace Accords 23 Oct. 1991

Sunday, November 17, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
17xi19


How CNRP Rift Benefits Hun Sen



“បទពិសោធន៍នៃការរួបរួមគ្នា អ្នកប្រជាធិបតេយ្យត្រូវរួបរួមគ្នាដាច់ខាត ដើម្បីឈ្នះ ចាំបាច់ត្រូវរួបរួមគ្នា។ ហើយបើមិនរួបរួមគ្នា អត់ងាយឈ្នះទេ។​ ហើយបើឈ្នះហើយ បែកបាក់ការរួបរួមគ្នា ចាញ់ទៅវិញ។ ហ្នឹងហើយបទពិសោធន៍ គេ(ដំណាងរាស្ត្រម៉ាឡេស៊ី) ក៏កភាព យើងក៏​​​កភាពអញ្ចឹង។​


ប្រធានស្តីទីគណបក្សសង្រ្គោះជាតិ សមរង្ស៊ី ​ វិទ្យុអាស៊ីសេរី ​​ ១២​វិច្ឆិកា ២០១៩


“ខ្ញុំមិនបានទាក់ទងលោកកឹមសុខាទេ មិនមានលទ្ធភាព។

ប្រធានស្តីទីគណបក្សសង្រ្គោះជាតិ សមរង្ស៊ី ​ វិទ្យុអាស៊ីសេរី ​​ ១២​វិច្ឆិកា ២០១៩


“ខ្ញុំអត់ចង់ឆ្លើយតបទេ​ អ្នកណាទិតៀនសមរង្ស៊ី ទិតៀនអ្នកដែលស្មោះត្រង់នឹងសមរង្ស៊ី
ទិតៀនចុះ គ្រាន់តែខ្ញុំសូមរំឮកថា យើងកុំលេងល្បែងហ៊ុនសែន។ ល្បែងហ៊ុនសែនចង់ឲ្យ
យើងវាយមក ចង់ឲ្យយើងឈ្លោះគ្នា កុំលេងល្បែងហ៊ុនសែនឲ្យសោះ បើយើងចង់ឈ្នះជនផ្តាច់ការហ៊ុនសែន។​ យើងត្រូវតែរួបរួមគ្នា ពីព្រោះគោលដៅយើងតែមួយ គឺផ្ដួលរបបហ៊ុនសែន… ។”

ប្រធានស្តីទីគណបក្សសង្រ្គោះជាតិ សមរង្ស៊ី ​ វិទ្យុអាស៊ីសេរី ​​ ១២​វិច្ឆិកា ២០១៩



Sam Rainsy claims after his meeting with some Malaysian parliamentarians that one major experience he learns from his hosts is that all democrats “must” unite to win. He says it is very difficult to win with disunity. How true.

In practice, nevertheless, Sam Rainsy seems struggling with how the unity works. While insisting he and Kem Sokha be one, he makes little or no effort to heal an obvious widening CNRP internal rift. He claims, without elaborating why, it is not possible for him to communicate with Kem Sokha after the latter’s recent conditional release from house arrest. Neither has Kem Sokha contacted him. Given modern communication facilities, the disconnection means the rift is widened to the extent that their liaison is no longer a priority.

A simple phone call between the two could do wonder for the CNRP unity. Kem Sokha may be persuaded to declare his support for a Sam Rainsy return including the 9/11. He could be thrown back in house arrest for breaking a court order not to be political, but it would be a massive boast to the morale of all CNRP supporters. Anyhow, that crucial phone call is not possible.

Wednesday, November 6, 2019


Pseng-Pseng
06xi19



Dear Pseng-Pseng Readers,

Please allow me to be personal.

You may be interested in helping me raise some fund for the Movember Foundation for their projects focussing on men’s health, prostate cancer, testicular cancer, and suicide prevention. Details about the cause and the organisation are in the below link.

My son Dean, my sons-in-law Sam and Ian, and I are taking part in the 2019 Movember fund raising campaign. We are growing a moustache during the month of November, and you will see what we all look like with a moustache at the end of the month.

Now you can make our campaign a success and fun. Donate to the good cause. Just go to the following link with your heart and wallet open and click “Donate to team”.




Should you feel inclined, please share the campaign with your friends and relatives.

Have a great November or Movember.


Ung Bun Ang
06xi19

Thursday, October 31, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
31x19


Is CNRP Ready to Rule?




The question seems far-fetched, but Hun Sen does not rule it out considering the effort he has put into preventing a successful Sam Rainsy 9/11 return.

A possible answer is a definite maybe, unless the CNRP can overcome at least two vital challenges.

First, indispensable Kem Sokha. Though he is in house arrest, Kem Sokha has played a significant role in building up momentum Sam Rainsy relies upon for his 9/11 return. An inside source claims Hun Sen has a standing offer for Kem Sokha’s co-operation: unlimited cash and any government position except his job. Kem Sokha has flatly refused. His passive aggression gives his partner Sam Rainsy a powerful leverage in challenging Hun Sen. Sam Rainsy must recognise this; he continues to insist Kem Sokha and he be one.

However, what will a power-sharing arrangement between the two gigantic egos look like? Will Sam Rainsy honour his pledge to let Kem Sokha run the country? The Sam Rainsy and Kem Sokha factions have been on each other’s throat since Hun Sen dissolved their party. The latest public hostility sees the former endorses the 9/11 return while the latter rejects it. If there has been any serious attempt to reconcile the two factions, then it fails. Could they do better?

Second, indispensable CPP. Sam Rainsy has already declared, except Hun Sen, he can work with any CPP members. Nevertheless, a more relevant question is, will the CPP co-operate with the CNRP, especially in the long run?

There is a huge hurdle to jump over. In mobilising a popular support, Sam Rainsy promises a zero-sum reform plan that involves a massive redistribution of wealth from the CPP elite. It is unlikely that the CPP would take this massive blow to their personal interests laying down. A compromise is likely, but it may threaten integrity of the CNRP reform.

It seems the CPP hold all the cards that matter in the compromise. Their modus operandi has been for decades entrenched in all levels of the country’s administrative structure. This gives them an unofficial veto power to sabotage any unsavoury reform that impacts their interest. The CNRP will need their experience and expertise while learning the ropes. Unless they can manage a steep learning curve, the CPP will retain the administrative power. 

Another CPP’s powerful key in their arsenal is their rampant corruption. It is so ironic the corruption that helps bring a possible Hun Sen downfall is also their deadly weapon against their nemesis. Just ask Funcinpec how their lust for positions and cash has decimated the party that won the 1993 general elections. The CPP corruption endemic would eat a presumptuous or naive CNRP alive. Hence, the question is, has the CNRP leadership been inoculated against the infectious lust and corruption to resist a Funcinpec harakiri temptation?

Unless the CNRP can resolve these challenges, the 9/11 return that may draw a fierce confrontation will only drag the people into another calamity for nothing. They deserve a break from further leadership ineffectiveness.


Ung Bun Ang
31x19



Funny News You Can Use


What a brilliant mind CPP spokesman Sok Eysan has displayed. He manages to encrypt his sensitive message against Hun Sen in what he calls logic. Let’s decipher his encrypted logic.

Four years after a mob attack that caused severe bodily harms to two opposition parliamentarians, Sok Eysan assures he has logic to show that the opposition party is a mastermind of the attack. His logic is that only those who are not responsible for citizens’ security dare to commit the atrocity so that responsible authorities will take the blame. Hence, the logic points to the opposition as the mastermind of the attack.

The court convicts and jails three of the mob, which means, according to the Eysan logic, they are working for the opposition. As the convicts are identified as senior armed officers of Hun Sen’s bodyguards, Eysan reveals there are the opposition’s operatives within a striking distance to Hun Sen.

The opposition plot thickens. The three men are then released early and get promoted – one of them to a brigadier general, which are rewards for a job well-done. Hence, those who are involved with these reward handouts must be in cohort with the opposition mastermind.

It is now clear why Hun Sen is nervous and unsettling. He must feel a concerted effort among “his people” with the opposition to pull the rug out from under his feet.

Nevertheless, if Sok Eysan does not mean any of this encrypted message that is delivered so cunningly, his mind must be dull and needs regular tune-up like a car combustion engine.


«ហេតុផល ​គឺ​អ្នក​ដែល​អត់​ទទួលខុស​ខាង​ការពារ​សន្តិសុខ​សុវត្ថិភាពជូន​ប្រជាពលរដ្ឋ​ទេ​ដែល​ហ៊ាន​ធ្វើ​ករណី​ហ្នឹង ដើម្បី​ដាក់​កំហុស​លើ​អ្នក​ដែល​មាន​តួនាទី​ការពារ​សន្តិសុខ​សុវត្ថិភាព​ជូន​ប្រជាពលរដ្ឋ»
អ្នកនាំពាក្យ​គណបក្ស​ប្រជាជន​កម្ពុជា សុខ ឥសាន ថ្ងៃ​ទី​ ២៦ តុលា ឆ្នាំ​២០១



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Pseng-Pseng is published irregularly. Previous issues are archived at pseng-pseng.blogspot.com

Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
22x19

Hun Sen in Panic Mode?



«នៅលើពិភពលោក ឬនៅក្នុងតំបន់អាស៊ី តើមានរបបណាខ្លះ ដែលពេលបរទេសមកជួយ ហើយពេល បរទេសដកចេញត្រឡប់ទៅវិញ បែរជារដ្ឋបាលស្ថិតស្ថេរគឺ មានតែកម្ពុជាទេ ដល់រដ្ឋាភិបាលហ៊ុន សែន វៀតណាម ចូលមកជួយ ដល់វៀតណាមដកចេញ ក្នុង ដំណាក់កាលរដ្ឋាភិបាលរបស់ខ្ញុំ វៀតណាមដកត្រឡប់ទៅវិញ រដ្ឋាភិបាលហ៊ុន សែន ឈរយ៉ាងមាំ នៅនេះ ។ ពិតមែនតែត្រូវធ្វើការសម្របសម្រួល ប៉ុន្តែសម្របសម្រួលលើមូលដ្ឋាននៃយន្តការរបស់ រដ្ឋាភិបាល ហ៊ុន សែនទាំងអស់ ។ នៅលើការជាក់ស្ដែង ហ៊ុន សែនកំពុងឈរនៅទីនេះ ហើយនឹងឈររហូតដល់ ១០ ឆ្នាំ ទៀតឯណោះ។»

នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុន សែន ថ្ងៃ​ទី១១ ខែ​តុលា ឆ្នាំ ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍



If incoherent statements indicate a panic, then a panic has set in within Hun Sen regime. Hun Sen has his own version of history to which he is entitled. It only reflects a trouble state of mind when he is unaware that his own public statements are incoherent and conflicting.

Hun Sen hails his regime as being stable and superior to any other in the world. He says his does not collapse like others after his saviour Vietnam withdraws their 100,000 forces. But there are heaps of nations on earth that have not collapsed, if not prospered, after their master withdraw their patronage: Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, India, Thailand, just to name a few. His regime, which is far from being the most stable, has been struggling with public discontent that has grown into a current existential threat.

Hun Sen loses track of his statements, like any panic person does. While boasting his regime still stands firm after Vietnam withdraws their troops, he claims the foreign troops have stayed for ten years only to ensure the Khmer Rouge will not return. Does he realise what he is saying? He is saying his regime needs Vietnam for at least ten years to survive after the Khmer Rouge defeat. He must know the Khmer Rouge would be able to regroup to have his regime for breakfast after their summary loss to Vietnam the night before. Thus, why does Hun Sen claim he can survive without Vietnam when he says he cannot?

Even after the Vietnamese ten-year occupation ends his regime remains shaky and loses the 1993 elections. Without his nemeses’ generosity and political concession, he would be out in the cold. Now he is staring at an existential threat that may finish him off for good unless he entices the Vietnamese troops to return. His recent trip to Hanoi sees him sign further border treaties many are fearful of the neighbour’s territorial ambitions.

However, if these incoherent statements do not constitute a panic mind, then applications for foreign citizenships by some of his inner circle cannot be a comfort to him. So far, Hun Sen’s niece Hun Kimleng and her husband national police chief Neth Savoeun; Finance Minister Aun Pornmoniroth and his wife; Pheapimex’s Choeung Sopheap and her husband Senator Lau Ming Kan; are packing up their bags and cash for Cyprus. These high-profile cohorts control the police and Hun Sen’s finance. A credible source in his inner circle claims the retreat like rats deserting a sinking ship is just a tip of the iceberg. This cannot be a vote of confidence in the regime.

If the exodus of close cohorts does not aggravate the panic, Hun Sen must be warming up to an exit plan, and it may be just an advance party for him. An option that has been tossed around is an exile to the Middle East where his friend and economic adviser Thaksin has found peace and solace for many years. He could now be Hun Sen’s spiritual adviser.


Ung Bun Ang
22x19



Funny News You Can Use


Campro (Cambodian Professionals) member Tith Tina has now received responses from some intellectuals to his question and invitation below for them to leave Cambodia if they are dumb enough to do so. According to leaked documents published by Reuters, high-profile members of Hun Sen’s families and allies have taken up the invitation to leave. They plan their escape routes seven years earlier than when Tith Tina issues a challenge on the Campro forum.

Thus, according to Tith Tina, the likes of Hun Kimleng, her husband national police chief Neth Savoeun, Finance Minister Dr Aun Pornmoniroth, his wife, Pheapimex’s Choeung Sopheap, her husband Senator Lau Ming Kan, are dumb enough to believe Hun Sen’s regime is barbaric and totalitarian. They are leaving Tith Tina for Cyprus – a paradise of democratic country of their choice.

The question is: are Tith Tina, his father Tith Munty, and the whole Tith family smart enough to hang around in a Hun Sen sinking ship? It will be ironic if Hun Sen chooses to leave before the Tiths do. Then again, they may have changed their mind since.


“Anyway, we are not dumb enough to believe ourself [sic] living in a barbarous totalitarian regime, are we? If so, everyone is free to seek political asylum in the paradise of democratic countries of their choice.”

Mine & Energy Secretary of State Tith Tina, son of Chief Justice of the Supreme Court Tith Munty, 4 January 2017, Campro forum




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Pseng-Pseng is published irregularly. Previous issues are archived at pseng-pseng.blogspot.com

Friday, October 11, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
11x19


The Second-Class Intellectuals



«មិន​​បាច់​រៀន​អ្វី​ក៏​បាន​ដែរ ប្រឡង​ចេញ ប្រឡង​លេងៗ ប៉ុន្តែ​គេ​ឱ្យ​សញ្ញាប័ត្រ​ដូច​គ្នា ឈ្មោះ West Point ដូច​គ្នា​អ៊ីចឹង ប៉ុន្តែ​គេ​អត់​ទទួលស្គាល់​នៅ​ស្រុក​គេ​ទេ។ ចង់​ធ្វើ​មេទ័ព​នៅ​អាមេរិក ឱ្យ​មក​បំពេញ​តួនាទី​ដូច​ជន​ជាតិ​​ស្បែក​ស ដែល​គេ​ទទួល​សញ្ញាប័ត្រ​ដែរ​នោះ គេ​អត់​ឱ្យ​ទេ។ គេ​ថា អ្នក​ឯង​យក​ទៅ​ស្រុក​អ្នក​ឯង អ្នក​ឯង​យក​ទៅ​បង្អួត​ទៅ​ សញ្ញាប័ត្រ​ប្រភេទ​ទី​ពីរ​នោះ​ណា។ អា​ហ្នឹង​ជា​កិច្ច​ការទូត នយោបាយ គេ​ចង់​មាន​ទំនាក់​ទំនង​ល្អ គេ​ឱ្យ​ទៅ​កូន​នាយក​រដ្ឋ​មន្ត្រី​នេះ កូន​ប្រធានាធិបតី​នោះ ឱ្យ​យក​សញ្ញាប័ត្រ​ក្លែង​ក្លាយ ប្រភេទ​ទី​ពីរ​នោះ​យក​ទៅ​បង្អួត​នៅ​ស្រុក​ខ្លួន​ទៅ។”​

ប្រធាន​ស្ដីទី​គណបក្ស​សង្គ្រោះ​ជាតិ​ សម រង្ស៊ី ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី   ខែ​កញ្ញា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩



“Graduates of US colleges, universities or institutes of higher learning receive degrees or certifications if they meet the requirements of that institution. A student’s country of origin is not a factor… US higher education institutions have an unmatched reputation for academic quality and critical thinking…”

US embassy spokesperson Emily Zeeberg, 4 October 2019, Khmer Times


“Rainsy’s words really look down on Khmer nationality which he thinks Khmer can not [sic] do and must have different standards from other nationalities.”

Second Cambodian West Point Graduate Meach Sithyka, 1 October 2019, Freshnews Asia




« ការដែលអ្នកចោទមិនហ៊ានភ្នាល់ វានឹងសឱ្យឃើញថា គាត់បាននិយាយតែផ្តាស គ្មានមូលដ្ឋានច្បាស់លាស់។»

នាយកមជ្ឈមណ្ឌលសិក្សាគោលនយោបាយ ច័ន្ទ សុផល ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី២ ខែ​តុលា២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍


«លោកសម រង្ស៊ី ជាមនុស្សមានបញ្ហាខាងស្មារតី ពីព្រោះគាត់តែងតែ ដើរចោទប្រកាន់គេគ្រប់គ្នា ដោយមិនសមហេតុផល ហើយគាត់មិនហ៊ានភ្នាល់ទេ ដោយសារតែគាត់និយាយតាមការនឹកឃើញ ហើយនិយាយគ្មានមូលដ្ឋាន និងមិនអាចរក ទឡ្ហីករណ៍ មកការពារខ្លួន និងភាសារបស់ លោកតែងតែញុះញង់ បរិហារអ្នកដទៃ ដែលធ្វើឲ្យ សាធារណជនមានការយល់ច្រឡំ។»

ប្រធានវិទ្យាស្ថានទំនាក់ទំនងអន្តរជាតិនៃរាជបណ្ឌិត្យសភាកម្ពុជា គិន ភា ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី២ ខែ​តុលា២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍



Many Cambodians have graduated from all types of foreign universities including first-class. Most regard themselves as intellectuals or professionals. Some, however, fails to apply what their first-class institutions claim to teach in their curriculum. Is this because these first-class institutes also engage in dishing out second-class degrees, or first-class intellect is beyond Cambodian graduates?

Yes, at least one of the most reputable Australian universities has conferred second-class certificates for decades. An econometrics professor friend of mine who tells me in the 70’ that well-connected students with scholarships from corrupt countries are not geared for any mental challenge. The conundrum is that if his university conferred a “normal” degree on them, its prestige would be blemished. Yet, it cannot fail them; it would cause catastrophic diplomatic quakes.

There is, however, a genius compromise: a degree with a “special” design and inscription for these “special” talents. Thus, my friend hails, the university reputation will remain intact while recipients and their governments will be happy; their ignorance will not hurt them. Indeed, only a select few know about this “special”.

Perhaps West Point Military Academy shares a similar practice. Responding to a claim that it does, the Academy confirms, though uncontested, it has issued degrees to three well-connected students from Cambodia. The US embassy refers in general terms to the US higher education system and requirements. Both fail to address an implication of the claim that one of the requirements, perhaps unwritten, is a political consideration for diplomatic sensitivity. Both do not explicitly deny the contention that first-class institutions like West Point cannot fail their well-connected students.

Anyhow, West Point may issue only a first-class diploma, but reactions of their graduates to the claim appear so second-class. Hun Manet resorts to wagering to make his point. He is thrilled declaring the Zeeberg statement validates his diploma; really? Another West Point graduate stretches the claim to another level: she says it treats Khmer nationality with contempt. Suddenly, she pretends to represent the whole nation.

If Hun Manet learned anything about critical thinking at West Point, he would be deflated by the Zeeberg statement. If Zeeberg counts West Point as one of the US institutions that she says enjoy an unmatched reputation for “critical thinking”, the two graduates who have reacted to the provocative claim have failed their school in this instance. Their responses are emotional-driven and too simplistic; they are not outcomes of a critical thinking.

Then there is a Hun Manet cheer squad that consists of local intellectuals. Centre for Policy Studies director rushes to conclude that a refusal of a wager means the claim is nonsensical and baseless. A Royal Academy of Cambodia director agrees and goes for the jugular: the claim is by a person with mental problems. They can manage only these intellectually deficient contributions. Somehow their thinking is wrapped up in a gambling mentality to play the man rather than the ball.

It is sad that these intellectuals forgo the opportunity to make their schools proud of their intellect.


Ung Bun Ang
11x19


Funny News You Can Use


Well, they say only the brain-dead will not change their mind; and neither do they care.

They made it sound so caring when they decided to ban foreigners from working in the informal sector. They said the move would help protect jobs of Cambodian people and create more employment opportunities for them. They said they had consulted all relevant stakeholders and checked all national and international laws to avoid any kind of discrimination. It was a ban made in heaven for Cambodians that lasts for only 37 days.

Then, they say they forgot the golden rule, that is, the man with the gold makes the rule.

After checking with their money man, they claim Cambodians are not capable of servicing the man in driving; chauffeuring; hairdressing; sewing; peddling goods and services; shoes shining; vehicle repairing; processing gold and precious stones; and producing Khmer materials: souvenirs, musical instruments, Buddha statues, and monks alms bowls.

With Hun Sen favouring even routine medical check-ups in Singapore, they show Cambodia could not do without foreigners from the informal sector to professional services.

If any of West Point graduates is still searching for a contempt of Cambodian people, look no further.



“[The lifting of the ban] is due to a demand for foreign expertise in the service sector and in order to encourage investment to Cambodia.”

Labour Minister Ith Samheng, 7 October 2019, Khmer Times


“We have issued this prakas at an appropriate time after consultations with relevant parties. After careful review and discussions with employers, workers and union representatives and the government, with regards to both regional and international legal frameworks, as well as the Labour Law, the prakas avoids racial or geographical discrimination.”

Ministry of Labour spokesman Heng Sour, 28 August 2019, The Phnom Penh Post





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Pseng-Pseng is published irregularly. Previous issues are archived at pseng-pseng.blogspot.com

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
5x19


Only He Can Rescue Hun Sen



រៀបចំកម្លាំងស្អីអ្នកឯងរៀបចំធ្វើអំពើភេរវកម្មហ៎ត្រៀមប្រយុទ្ធហ៎ប្រាប់ឲ្យហើយ ផ្ញើសារឲ្យទូទាំងប្រទេស បញ្ឈប់ទៅអាគណៈកម្មការចំពោះកិច្ច ទាំងនៅភ្នំពេញ នៅវាលវែង ខេត្តឯណាៗ គឺ និយាយឲ្យត្រង់ ឃើញមួយ វាយមួយទៅ។

នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុនសែន ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី២១ ខែ​មីនា ឆ្នាំ​២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍


«យើង​ធ្វើ​អ៊ីចឹង​វា​ហួស​ហេតុ​ពេក យក​ប្រពៃណី​ធ្វើ​នយោបាយ វា​អត់​សម​ទេ។ ធ្វើ​នេះ​ឲ្យ​ពលរដ្ឋ​ភ័យ​ខ្លាច ដោយ​ឡែក​ពលរដ្ឋ​តាម​ជនបទ គ្នា​មិន​ទាន់​ដឹង​ច្បាប់​​ដឹង​ទម្លាប់​ គ្នា​ភ័យ។ ខ្លះ​ចូល​វត្ត ខ្លះ​ក៏​មិន​ចូល​ទៅ។ វា​មិន​ចំណេញ​ទេ​ធ្វើ​អ៊ីចឹង។ បើ​និយាយ​ពី​មន្ត្រី​រាជការ ដូច​ទីងមោង ចង់​ធ្វើ​អ្វី​បាន​តាម​ចិត្ត។ នេះ​ទី​មួយ​ប៉ះពាល់​សតិ​អារម្មណ៍​ពលរដ្ឋ ទី២ វា​ថោក​ខ្លួន​ឯង។ យើង​ជា​ថ្នាក់​ដឹក​នាំ​ចុង​ក្រោយ​ខ្លាច​រាស្ត្រ​តូច​តាច​វិញ។ អា​ហ្នឹង​គេ​ហៅ​ថា ថោក​ខ្លួន​ឯង»
ពលរដ្ឋ​​ខេត្ត​ស្ទឹងត្រែង​ លោក ថាន់​ វ៉ន ថ្ងៃ​ទី២៨ ខែ​កញ្ញា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ វិទ្យុអាស៊ីសេរី



Now that the world leaves him out in the cold, Hun Sen is alone to fence off all assaults on his authority from both outside and inside the government.

Against outside foes, Hun Sen opts for a violent showdown. He has carried out his promise to smash every single opponent, perceived or otherwise, that pops up in his face. To date, 165 CNRP members have been summoned to court, 30 thrown in jail, one death in custody, physical assaults by hit and run assailants, and countless are in hiding. The numbers are mounting.

Nevertheless, it is puzzling if he is trying to prove right leaked outcomes of a series of market research he has commissioned since Sam Rainsy announced his 9/11 return, or if he just too anxiously reacts to the outcomes that he assumes are reliable.

The leaked research information paints a gloomy prospect for Hun Sen, which should not be surprising given what Hun Sen has done to the country in the past few decades. However, it includes some numbers that must unsettle Hun Sen. It says about 2 million people may turn up to welcome Sam Rainsy’s return. It is now clear why Hun Sen, who is a fervent betting man, ignores a proposed wager on a 2 million turnout. The estimate is about two-thirds of votes the CNRP receives in 2013 and 2017 elections.

Perhaps the numbers that drive Hun Sen into the violence overdrive are the information algorithms indicating that it is 98% certain that there will be a popular uprising, and the probability of Hun Sen bringing it under control is less than 1%.

The inability to control the uprising underlines armed forces cohesion, or lack of it, which is also addressed in the leaked information. It claims 65% of the armed forces would give heed to Sam Rainsy’s appeal for a mutiny, which leaves only 35% to Hun Sen.

It is uncertain how the divide has first come about, but it is likely to be perpetuated, if not exacerbated, by recent restructuring of the armed forces and Hun Sen’s reactions to the divide. First, Hun Sen’s fast promotion of his son Manet to a military top job may agitate many generals, especially those who lose out in the restructure and those who doubt Manet’s suitability. Second, a recent strip of Oknha title from numerous generals is a severe slap in the face in a regime that glorifies titles. Third, Hun Sen repeatedly threatens his generals their wealth is closely linked to him being in power. If he is gone, so will their riches. He may again demand all armed forces swear allegiance to him.

Anyhow, with the divide and the coming 9/11 challenge, Hun Sen has again instilled fear throughout the country. It is a portent that he fails to realise his fear card is consistently proved ineffective. Otherwise, nobody would now challenge his authority.

Yet, Hun Sen’s fortune can still be rescued, should Sam Rainsy lose his nerve and retire in Paris.


Ung Bun Ang
5x19



Funny News You Can Use


So, what is going on with a formal request Hun Sen says he has sent to all ASEAN members asking them to arrest and extradite Sam Rainsy to Cambodia for him?

Malaysia’s Mahathir says he has not received it. Cambodian Foreign Affairs Minister Prak Sokhon says he has sent it, but he may stuff it up somewhere in a diplomatic channel. Does he really want to have Sam Rainsy arrested and extradited for Hun Sen? Or he is just plain inefficient?

Still, Mahathir says he does not interfere in internal affairs of any country. Sokhon says non-interference is one thing and cooperation to arrest criminals is another. Smart answer from the Cambodian top diplomat.

But will Mahathir arrest the criminal in transit when Prak Sokhon implies the Malaysian prime Minister does not know any better? Does he really want Mahathir to arrest Sam Rainsy for Hun Sen? Hun Sen may think not.



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Saturday, September 28, 2019


Pseng-Pseng
28ix19


Lonesome Hun Sen




“China has never attached any political condition in aiding and investing in Cambodia. Bilateral cooperation between the two nations are open and transparent and history will show that Chinese investment is not a trap.”

Chinese Ambassador to Cambodia Wang Wentian, 26 September 2019, Khmer Times




It has been a worrying time for Hun Sen. He has been losing “friends” left, right, and centre.

According to a source in his inner circle, China has become non-committal. It still says it supports Hun Sen but refuses to specify how it will do so despite his numerous requests for details. This is a serious deprivation of substance Hun Sen needs for his sanity. He knows China has a habit of backing a winner of the day, so it can again change side if Sam Rainsy manages to bring people’s power with him on 9/11. Ambassador Wang confirms Chinese investments and aid are not political, which means China will deal with whoever in power in Cambodia. Could Beijing fly a new victor to Cambodia in a 747 jet like it used to for Prince Sihanouk?

The source claims China advises Hun Sen to do what it has done with its Hong Kong dissidents – allowing them to run amok in the streets until they run out of steam. Hun Sen rejects the idea as it has no palatable options for him should a 9/11 momentum grows out of control.

Eternal friend Vietnam is dropping Hun Sen. It is well-known Vietnam has not been thrilled with Hun Sen’s close alignment with Beijing. The source claims Hanoi demands he sign a declaration denouncing China in the South China Sea dispute. An analysis argues if Beijing decides to use forces in the dispute, Vietnam will be its first target. Hun Sen refuses the demand telling Hanoi he can secretly sign anything but not for public consumption. It seems his September trip to Vietnam announced in August is postponed indefinitely; there has been no report on it. Hun Sen is worried, according to the source, that this precarious relationship may lead to Hanoi facilitating Sam Rainsy’s transit in Vietnam.

Hun Sen also suffers a snub from Western diplomats in Cambodia. The source claims when his lobby team speaks of his remarkable economic growth, the envoys speak of human rights and freedom. The US will cheer when a Chinese naval base project in Cambodia is dead.

Hun Sen’s effort with ASEAN may fall flat. Thailand has expedited a CNRP member on his request, but this time involves a huge fish. It may remember it is Hun Sen who interferes in its internal affairs by assisting former Thailand prime minister Yingluck to escape Thai court on corruption charges; he issues her a Cambodian passport. If Thailand harbours a grudge against Hun Sen, Sam Rainsy may walk into Cambodia with reportedly at least 200,000 Cambodians working in Thailand.

The Lao premier says he will comply with Hun Sen’s extradition request, but it is unlikely without a greenlight from his patron Hanoi. Malaysia’s Mahathir keeps asking Hun Sen, unsuccessfully, to stand with ASEAN against China. Anyhow, any of the ASEAN members may just regard extraditing Sam Rainy as an act of violating the ASEAN non-interfering principle and ignore the request.

His eleventh-hour efforts fail. He must feel lonely.


Ung Bun Ang
28ix19


Funny News You Can Use


For a regime that hails its rule of law every time they move their lips, there is no clear difference between “theft” and “loan”. They transform theft into loan with ease even without legal documents to indicate who is a lender who is a borrower.

National Military Police Commander Sao Sokha instructs all loans by his officers be returned to court. However, his spokesman Eng Hy claims it is not certain if there is anything borrowed from the court. Either the boss is stupid or ignorant, or his subordinate is smart enough to put his boss’s mental stability and capacity into questions.

Anyhow, according to the Ministry of Justice, it does not matter whether it is a theft or loan. Its spokesman Chin Malin says those assets, confiscated from alleged crimes as evidence awaiting trial, need to be used to preserve their value. Really? Why does he not quote any relevant law when claiming this?

And what does the court say in all this? Absolutely nothing.

The legalised theft appears also widespread. Sao Sokha asks for a listing of these real estate, non-real estate, and valuables like vehicles, motorcycles, rifles, pistols, mobile phones, computers, etc. The ignorant commander has no idea about the extent of the theft-loan system he is dealing with.



«ចំពោះនាយទាហាន នាយទាហានរង នៃកងរាជអាវុធហត្ថ ដែលបាន ខ្ចីចលនទ្រព្យ អចលនទ្រព្យ និងរតនវត្ថុផ្សេងៗ ដូចជា រថយន្ត ម៉ូតូកង់ កាំភ្លើងវែងខ្លី ទូរស័ព្ទដៃ កុំព្យូទ័រ ... ។ ល ។ ពីសាលាដំបូងរាជធានីខេត្ត យកមកប្រើប្រាស់ ជាមធ្យោបាយសម្រាប់ធ្វើការងារនោះ គឺត្រូវប្រគល់ជូនសាលាដំបូងរាជធានីខេត្តវិញ ជាកំហិត។»

មេបញ្ជាការកងរាជអាវុធហត្ថលើផ្ទៃប្រទេស នាយឧត្តមសេនីយ៍ សៅ សុខា ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី១៧ ខែ​កញ្ញា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍

«តុលាការបានស្នើទៅក្រសួងយុត្តិធម៌ [ឲ្យធ្វើដូច្នេះ] ប៉ុន្តែខ្ញុំមិនដឹងទេថា តើមានទ្រព្យសម្បត្តិដែលបានខ្ចីពីតុលាការ ឬអត់នោះទេ។»

អ្នកនាំពាក្យកងរាជអាវុធហត្ថលើផ្ទៃប្រទេស អេង ហ៊ី ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី១៧ ខែ​កញ្ញា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍

«វត្ថុតាងមួយចំនួនទាមទារឲ្យមានការប្រើប្រាស់ជាប្រចាំនិងការថែទាំ ព្រោះបើទុកចោល វាធ្វើឲ្យខូចតម្លៃរបស់វា។»

អ្នកនាំពាក្យក្រសួងយុត្តិធម៌ ជិន ម៉ាលីន ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី១៧ ខែ​កញ្ញា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍




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Thursday, September 12, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
12ix19


Dear Dr Mahathir



“This [high-rise buildings] is a sign of prosperity. And I believe that this is due to your hard-working people… highly skilful people who have contributed towards rebuilding Phnom Penh and Cambodia,”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 3 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“But now it [Cambodia] has changed very much. What is lacking is facilities for education and training."

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 3 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“Today, Syria is almost wiped out. Iraq is in a bad state and Yemen is fighting. That is the effect of regime change on countries not ready for democracy.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 3 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“So one has to be very careful… My advice to young people the world over is to really know the people they choose. They must be as sure as possible to choose the right people to lead their countries.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 4 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“They say when elephants fight, the grass gets trampled – so we may be trampled. Not only Cambodia, but Malaysia too. So, in order to avoid being trampled down by fighting elephants, we [Asean members] should come together so we can strengthen ourselves.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 3 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“Once you are indebted to other countries, you are no longer independent. So value your independence. Even if your national development is slowed down, it is worthwhile because you don’t want to again be colonised by others – not directly, but indirectly through their influence over your economy.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 4 September 2019, The Phnom Penh Post


“So why are you not proud of your own culture? Your own ways of living, of thinking? Today, because of easy communication, you can see what is happening in other countries. Sometimes you copy them, which is okay if the things are good. I think the systems of government and democracy, for example, are very good – we should copy that.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 3 September 2019, Khmer Times


“We have a number of Cambodians working in Malaysia and we need to look after them, their healthcare, and well-being so that they will have full benefits from the work they do in Malaysia.”

Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohamad, 4 September 2019, Khmer Times




If your statements in Cambodia reported by local media are accurate, i.e, they come straight from the horse’s mouth, not from another hole at the opposite end, you are a real seasoned politician. However, your lavish compliments for Hun Sen’s high-rise buildings may cloud his understanding of your other not-so-subtle messages.

You must know the praise that massages your host’s ego does not reflect integrity of those buildings. At least 14 buildings in Sihanoukville are on order to be demolished, other 70 are being examined for defects, after a building collapse that kills 28 and injures 26 people. If they are highly skilled as you remark, they must be sloppy to pass such low-quality work. No wonder you mention later that Cambodia lacks facilities for education and training.

Hun Sen may miss your message for a regime change in Cambodia. You say the fighting in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen is because they are not democracy ready. Your subtle message to Cambodians is that since Hun Sen always claims his regime is democratic, Cambodia is now due for a regime change.

Wednesday, September 4, 2019


Pseng-Pseng
In Brief
4ix19


Lessons from Hong Kong Rebellion



“It was you who taught us peaceful protests don't work.”

A Hong Kong rebellion graffiti, 2 September 2019, ABC Four Corners






In preparation for the 9/11 show-down in Cambodia, there are 11 lessons from the current Hong Kong rebellion Hun Sen’s nemesis may want to adopt.


1.      Frontliners are backed by a brigade of self-organised medics, scouts, firemen, and supply runners.

2.      Use of black t-shirts as uniform and apparatus for safety and ID protection

3.      Quick groups meetings

4.      Use of umbrellas to avoid photo detections

5.      Use of laser beams to distract police

6.      Barricades to block roads

7.      Many decisions are made through discussions and voting on the spot

8.      No target for the authority – deliberate decision not to have a central leader in the protest actions after all known leaders have all been arrested.

9.      Use of online forums and encrypt apps like Telegram to communicate and vote on ideas for tactics and target locations, and to post warnings on locations and actions of the police

10.  Underground popup shops to sell gas masks, goggles, helmets, and hard hats, sales of which are restricted by authority

11.  “Be water” tactics – they appear and disappear from locations to location – to confuse and overwhelm the police



Details of these are in a report by Sophie McNeill of ABC’s Four Corners, broadcast on 2 September 2019. Below is the link to the full report.




Consider and learn.


Ung Bun Ang
4ix19



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Pseng-Pseng is published irregularly. Previous issues are archived at pseng-pseng.blogspot.com

Sunday, September 1, 2019

Pseng-Pseng
01ix19


Does Sam Rainsy Have It?



«ខ្ញុំ​នឹង​នាំ​ពលករ​ខ្មែរ​នៅ​ថៃ​ពីរ​លាន​នាក់​បង​ប្អូន នៅ​ម៉ាឡេស៊ី នៅ​កូរ៉េ នៅ​ជប៉ុន ​ដែល​ពួក​គាត់​បង្ខំចិត្ត​ទៅ​ស៊ី​ឈ្នួល​ធ្វើ​ការងារ​ស្រុក​គេ ទៅ​ផ្ទះ​យើង​វិញ​ទាំង​អស់​គ្នា ទៅ​យក​ផ្ទះ​យើង ទៅ​យក​ដីធ្លី​យើង​វិញ ទៅ​យក​ប្រទេស​យើង​វិញ ​កុំ​ឲ្យ ហ៊ុន សែន ប្លន់។»

ប្រធាន​ស្ដីទី​គណបក្ស​សង្គ្រោះ​ជាតិ សម រង្ស៊ី ​​ថ្ងៃ​ទី១៩ ខែ​សីហា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ វិទ្យុអាស៊ីសេរី

«ក្រសួងការបរទេសទាំង២កំពុងតែរៀបចំការងារហ្នឹងហើយ [ទស្សនកិច្ចនៅប្រទេសវៀតណាម] ព្រោះសម្ដេចតេជោទើបសម្រេចកាលពីម្សិលមិញ (២០សីហា)។»

នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុន សែន ថ្ងៃ​ទី ២ សីហា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍



Again and again since the 1993 elections has Hun Sen proved he has “it” – the killer instinct. He makes himself the second premier despite CPP losing the elections. He executes the 1997-armed clash to become the only premier. He has many socio-political activists persecuted and murdered.

Meanwhile, there has been no clear indication that long-standing opponent Sam Rainsy has it. He may yet to flex his killer instinct after all these decades, if he ever has one. Perhaps, 9 November (another 9/11?) – the date he chooses to return to Cambodia – is his opportunity to confirm he badly wants Hun Sen’s job. Indeed, stepping onto Cambodian soil on 9/11 requires the killer instinct.

It is very unlikely that Hun Sen will make the comeback a risk-free for Sam Rainsy considering their chronic animosity and what is at stake. The latter boasts he is going to bring with him two million Cambodians working abroad to take back their real estate properties Hun Sen has swindled. Though he may not end up with the number – his previous grandiose claims often are pure hot air – Hun Sen is still anxious because he must know many agree with Sam Rainsy that he has robbed the nation blind. His relaxed façade of composing poems ridiculing the return is just a faint cover for the anxiety exposed by intense crackdowns on CNRP supporters throughout the country.

According to a source within Hun Sen’s inner circle, there will be no negotiation with the opposition before the 9/11. Sam Rainsy will be disappointed if he expects it for a safe passage.

Sunday, August 18, 2019


Pseng-Pseng
18viii19

 

 

Adieu Hun Sen?




«ឧទាហរណ៍ជាក់ស្តែង យើងឃើញឯកឧត្តមរដ្ឋមន្ត្រីក្រសួងសាធារណការនិងដឹកជញ្ជូន លោក [ស៊ុន ចាន់ថុល] បានចុះជិះកង់ទៅដល់មូលដ្ឋាននៃឯកទេសរបស់លោក។ ទៅមើល(ការ)វាយតម្លៃ ផ្លូវថ្នល់ ក៏ដូចជាឯកឧត្តមរដ្ឋមន្ត្រីក្រសួងកសិកម្ម លោក [វេង សាខុន] ក៏បានអញ្ជើញចុះវាយតម្លៃពី រឿងភាពរីងស្ងួត ហើយក៏ដូចជារដ្ឋមន្ត្រី មួយចំនួនកំពុងបំពេញភារកិច្ច។»

អ្នកនាំពាក្យរាជរដ្ឋាភិបាល ផៃ ស៊ីផាន ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី២ ខែ​ឧសភា ឆ្នាំ២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍



High dietary intakes of salt can lead to high blood pressure… High salt intake impacts the body and your health in many ways and is linked to conditions other than high blood pressure such as: heart failure/heart attack, kidney problems and kidney stones, oedema (fluid retention), stroke, left ventricular hypertrophy (thickening of heart muscle), and osteoporosis.





«កុំឲ្យសោះណា វាយខ្នោះ ជាប់រហូត ហើយកុំថាខ្លាច យី គេមកពិនិត្យ EBA លោកហ៊ុនសែននិយាយ អ៊ីចឹង? ទេ អារឿងខុសច្បាប់ អត់មានរឿងEBA មិនEBA អីទេ។ តែរឿងខុសច្បាប់ គឺដាក់ហើយ កុំខ្វល់ពេក។ រៀបចំកម្លាំងស្អី? អ្នកឯងរៀបចំធ្វើអំពើភេរវកម្មហ៎? ត្រៀមប្រយុទ្ធហ៎? ប្រាប់ឲ្យហើយ ផ្ញើសារឲ្យទូទាំងប្រទេស បញ្ឈប់ទៅអាគណៈកម្មការចំពោះកិច្ច ទាំងនៅភ្នំពេញ នៅវាលវែង ខេត្តឯណាៗ គឺ និយាយឲ្យត្រង់ ឃើញមួយ វាយមួយទៅ។

នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុនសែន ​ថ្ងៃ​ទី២១ ខែ​មីនា ឆ្នាំ​២០១៩ ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍



There is mounting evidence to suggest what Hun Sen has done to Cambodia may come to an end soon.

First, the government offers only poor excuses why Hun Sen has since 26 July cancelled the weekly meeting of the Council of Ministers. It claims there is nothing to discuss, which is very conceited of the government to ignore lingering issues, like land disputes, workers welfare, possible loss of EBA concessions, Chinese running amok in Sihanoukville, reduction of water level in the Mekong and Tonle Sap, etc.

It also says some ministers are out in provinces. For instance, Public Works Minister Sun Chanthol is preoccupied with riding a bicycle in countryside to evaluate road conditions; Agriculture Minister Veng Sakhon is busy with assessing droughts on location. These missions must be so crucial to autocrat Hun Sen that he cancels the meetings on their account.

Second, there must be something serious happening to silence the man who enjoys bashing and ridiculing political opponents with his foul mouth in public addresses. Now in his place, others like Sar Kheng and Tea Banh are running around the country responding to the opposition’s persistent calls for popular revolts. Why would an autocrat like Hun Sen share limelight with their junior ministers?

Only an anonymous source in Hun Sen’s inner circle reveals a reason for his absence. Hun Sen’s hypertension and high cholesterol have deteriorated to the extent that his doctors in Singapore give him no option other than being hospitalised there for treatments. The source claims his regular diet includes his favourite prahok; this salty fish paste can explain his hypertension and other possible incapacitated medical conditions.

Another well-known factor that can exacerbate hypertension is stress. Given fierce crackdowns on whoever dares do anything Hun Sen considers to be against him, it must be stressful to be ready to squash every single one that has emerged. The source confirms the stress and anxiety have stricken him since his conviction that he would lose a proper election. The latest announcement of Sam Rainsy’s return to Cambodia on 9 November – whether he will or not – may just suffice to send any severe hypertension sufferer to an early grave. The news cannot be a relief for Hun Sen.

Anyway, it is so ironic that Hun Sen uses his favourite prahok to justify his brand of democracy. He says his democracy must be different from that of the West as Cambodians eat prahok, while the latter hamburger. Just like his prahok indulgence that damages his personal health, his democracy now puts his regime in hot water with EU and USA. A loss of EBA concessions, which may lead to popular revolts, becomes so real that it only adds stress and anxiety onto Hun Sen, despite China’s support. He cannot draw much comfort from forthcoming USA sanctions that will hit his top elite’s wealth and family connections in the US.

However, there might be a second miracle on the Mekong Hun Sen can pray for, if he remains calm enough.


Ung Bun Ang
18viii19



Funny News You Can Use


There are so many generals in Hun Sen’s armed forces that the strongman can have them lined up in formation like enlisted men.





The interesting questions are: how many of these generals are in torpor? How do they feel being treated like the enlisted? Or are they just in hibernation waiting for the sun to shine on the corrupt land so that they can have their pride back?

Perhaps only Hun Sen’s opponents who have prepared a strategic plan to invigorate them could answer these questions with some degree of certainty. Who are these worthy opponents, though?



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Pseng-Pseng is published irregularly. Previous issues are archived at pseng-pseng.blogspot.com