World Leaders Will Exclude Putin From Summit Meeting
THE
HAGUE — The United States and its closest allies on Monday cast Russia
out of the Group of 8 industrialized democracies, their most exclusive
club, to punish President Vladimir V. Putin for his lightning annexation
of Crimea, while threatening tougher sanctions if he escalates
aggression against Ukraine.
President
Obama and the leaders of Canada, Japan and Europe’s four strongest
economies gathered for the first time since the Ukraine crisis erupted
last month, using a closed two-hour meeting on the sidelines of a summit
about nuclear security to project a united front against Moscow.
But
they stopped short, at least for now, of imposing sanctions against
what a senior Obama administration official called vital sectors of the
Russian economy: energy, banking and finance, engineering and the arms
industry. Only further aggression by Mr. Putin — like rolling his forces
into the Ukrainian mainland — would prompt that much-harsher
punishment, the countries indicated in their joint statement, called the
Hague Declaration.
“The
biggest hammer that can drop is sectoral sanctions, and the clearest
trigger for those is eastern and southern Ukraine,” the senior
administration official said.
Some
critics of the administration said the suspension of Russia from the
G-8, which administration officials acknowledged was largely symbolic,
showed a lack of resolve among the allies to take tougher steps to undo
Mr. Putin’s annexation of Ukraine.
But
it signified a firming of Western resolve compared with the early days
of the Crimea crisis, when Germany and some other allies said it was
premature to consider excluding Russia from the club of industrial
democracies. Having Russia as part of that group since 1998 was meant to
signal cooperation between East and West, and its exclusion inevitably
raises new echoes of Cold War-style rivalry.
Announcing
that they would boycott a Group of 8 meeting planned for Sochi — Mr.
Putin’s Black Sea showcase for the recent Winter Olympics — the seven
countries who met here said they would instead gather by themselves in
June in Brussels, headquarters of NATO and the European Union.
“We
will suspend our participation in the G-8 until Russia changes course,”
the seven countries declared in what constituted a subtle appeal to
Russian leaders outside Mr. Putin’s circle to press for a switch in
direction.
After
the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, Russia eagerly sought to join the
tight circle of the world’s top economies, eventually gaining entry in
1998. For all that Mr. Putin shrugged off the threat of canceling the
Sochi summit this month — a shoulder shrug imitated here by his foreign
minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, on Monday — it is a blow to the Kremlin’s
search for prestige.
Mr.
Putin took membership in the group so seriously that he went all out
when it came time for Russia to host the annual meeting for the first
time. He rebuilt a broken-down czarist-era palace outside his hometown,
St. Petersburg, in part with the summit in mind, adding a series of new
mansions to the grounds for each leader to stay in. The Kremlin hired a
Western public relations agency to promote its status as host.
“Obviously,
it’s mostly symbolic, but symbols do matter,” said Michael A. McFaul,
the just-departed American ambassador to Moscow. “The G-8 was something
they wanted to be part of. This for them was a symbol of being part of
the big-boy club, the great power club — and the club of democracies, I
might add.”
The
Obama administration voiced satisfaction that the West was united in
punishing Russia, both now and in future, if it does not reverse course.
“There really wasn’t much disagreement” at the meeting either about
Russia or the need to swiftly aid Ukraine, the senior administration
official said.
Germany’s
chancellor, Angela Merkel, who with her foreign minister has had the
most contact with Mr. Putin and other Russian officials during this
crisis, has been among the most forthright in rejecting Mr. Putin’s
actions, despite the potential costs to Germany’s economy.
German
businesses sold almost 40 billion euros of goods to Russia last year,
and bought Russian imports of the same value, almost exclusively oil and
natural gas supplies that meet about one-third of Germany’s energy
needs.
But
Ms. Merkel has strengthened Germany’s response over the past two weeks
after she perceived Mr. Putin as violating promises by annexing Crimea
and opting for old-fashioned nationalism and the use of military force
over the talk of cooperation and respect for borders that have governed
East-West relations in recent decades.
The
support of Germany, the largest economy in Europe and a longtime
bellwether on Russian relations, is viewed as crucial to enforcing
tougher sanctions if they become necessary down the road. The
administration official said that any such sanctions would have
“consequences for the global economy and individual countries.”
“The cost is far greater for the Russians, who stand much more to lose,” the official added.
Russia
argues that Crimea has effectively been Russian territory since the
18th century and was put under Ukrainian sovereignty only by the Soviet
leader Nikita S. Khrushchev in 1954 as a gesture of good will inside the
Soviet Union. It says its military intervention was meant to protect
Russian speakers from Ukrainian nationalists who helped topple the
previous, more pro-Russian government.
But
Western leaders have condemned the military incursion as a violation of
both international law and specific Russian agreements with Ukraine and
the outside world, and disputed Russian claims that ethnic Russians
faced threats to their security in Crimea or elsewhere in Ukraine.
The
leaders met on the sidelines of a nuclear security summit arranged in
advance of the Ukraine crisis. Ms. Merkel, speaking to German reporters,
noted that the two issues were deeply linked. Ukraine, she recalled,
renounced its Soviet-era nuclear weapons in 1994 by concluding the
Budapest Memorandum, an agreement with the United States, Britain and
Russia to guarantee the integrity of Ukraine.
That accord “has been flagrantly violated,” she noted.
Ban
Ki-moon, the secretary general of the United Nations, stressed in a
speech to the full summit that he worried some current or future nuclear
powers could view the weapons as crucial to protect themselves against
invasion, undermining hopes of reducing their spread.
“Nuclear weapons should be seen as a liability and not an asset,” he said.
There
was no mention in the Monday declaration of how much assistance the
West will now give Ukraine, either in cash or in bolstering a relatively
weak acting government until elections scheduled for May 25.
Ukraine
has said it needs €1 billion in immediate assistance, and the European
Union is readying a further €11 billion for this year, mostly through
lending by European institutions.
The
declaration emphasized instead the “central role” of the International
Monetary Fund in “lessening Ukraine’s economic vulnerabilities, and
better integrating the country as a market economy in the multilateral
system.”
“We
remain united in our commitment to provide strong financial backing to
Ukraine,” The Hague Declaration said, specifying that it would bolster
trade and strengthen security in the key field of energy.
European
powers that depend heavily on Russia for natural gas also indicated
that they would pursue a strategy to reduce dependence on Russian energy
by June, though any effort to shift suppliers is likely to take many
months or years.
No comments:
Post a Comment