Huge Win for Narendra Modi, India's Next Prime Minister
Reuters / Newsweek | 16 May 2014
(Reuters) - Opposition candidate Narendra Modi will be the
next prime minister of India, with counting trends showing the
pro-business Hindu nationalist and his party headed for the most
resounding election victory the country has seen in 30 years.
Modi's landslide was welcomed with a thundering rally on India's
stock markets and raucous celebrations at offices across the country of
his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), where supporters danced, exploded
fireworks and handed out sweets.
Singh's Congress party suffered its worst ever wipeout, a big boost
to Modi's goal of ending the dominance of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty that
has governed for most of the 67 years of independent India.
Singh congratulated Modi on Friday with a telephone call.
Crowds surged around Modi's car after he visited his mother's home in
the western state of Gujarat. He sent a message saying "India has won,"
that instantly set a record as the country's most retweeted Twitter
post.
"I'm so happy because all of India wanted a strong government,"
shouted software engineer Vinod Rai at the BJP's Delhi headquarters. Rai
echoed the sentiments of millions of Indians who bought into Modi's
promises of job creation and economic growth to satisfy a bulging youth
population.
With more than six times the seats of its closest rival, Modi's is
the most decisive mandate for any leader since the 1984 assassination of
prime minister Indira Gandhi propelled her son to office. Since 1989,
India has been governed by coalitions.
The BJP was winning in 278 seats of the 543-seat parliament, counting
trends showed. An alliance led by the party was ahead in 337 seats, TV
channel NDTV said.
MARKETS SOAR
Responding to the news, Indian markets got off to a roaring start,
with the rupee breaking below 59 to the U.S. dollar, an 11-month high,
and the benchmark stock index jumping 6 percent to a record high before
paring its gains.
Betting on a Modi win, foreign investors have poured more than $16
billion into Indian stocks and bonds in the past six months and now hold
over 22 percent of Mumbai-listed equities - a stake estimated by Morgan
Stanley at almost $280 billion.
Unlike his predecessors, Modi will not have to deal with unruly
partners as he implements reform. That could usher in profound economic
changes, and he will try to replicate his success in attracting
investment and building infrastructure in Gujarat, the state he has
governed for more than 12 years.
"He can afford to have a smaller but stronger cabinet, that means a
far more decisive government. He has been saying less government and
more governance, we are really likely to see that," said Navneet Munot,
Chief Investment Officer at SBI Funds management in Mumbai.
But with India's economy suffering its worst slowdown since the 1980s
and battling high inflation, it will not be an easy task to meet the
hopes of millions of Indians who have bought into the idea that Modi
will quickly push their country onto the top table of global economic
powers.
"It's important to be realistic about how quickly they can instigate
change. It takes time to, number one, get economic reforms through the
political machinery, and number two, it also takes a while before
economic reforms actually have a positive impact," said Leif Eskesen, an
economist at HSBC in Singapore.
DESIRE FOR CHANGE
India's election was the world's largest ever. Staggered over five
weeks, a record of more than 500 million ballots were cast from the
Himalayas in the north to the tropical south, with voters braving
blistering heat for a record 66 percent turnout.
Since being named as his party's candidate last September, Modi has
flown 300,000 km (186,000 miles) and addressed 457 rallies in a slick,
presidential-style campaign that broke the mould of Indian politics.
Modi contrasted his humble roots with the cloistered life of
privilege of his dynastic rivals. He ran circles round his slow-footed
opponent Rahul Gandhi, 43, from the Congress party which his family has
dominated since his grandfather Jawaharlal Nehru led India to
independence from Britain in 1947.
Prime Minister Singh launched reforms in 1991 as finance minister
that opened India's socialist economy to global capital, but his spell
in the top job ended marred by corruption and a floundering economy amid
mounting policy paralysis. He has already bid farewell to his staff
after ten years in office.
The desire for change has been so strong that voters put aside concerns about Modi's Hindu-centric politics.
A dark chapter of violence against Muslims on his watch has mattered
less and less to many, including a bulging middle class alarmed by
dwindling purchasing power and job opportunities as the economy slumped
to sub-five percent growth in the last two years.
Modi has promised that, if elected, he would take decisive action to
unblock stalled investments in power, road and rail projects to revive
economic growth.
Tax and labor market reforms, backed by a gradual opening up to
foreign investment, would seek to create the 10 million jobs that Asia's
third-largest economy needs every year to absorb young people entering
the workforce.
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