In
times of scarcity and alienation, it’s more like bumper cars. Different
groups feel their lanes are blocked, so they start crashing into one
another. The cultural elites start feuding with the financial elites.
The lower middle class starts feuding with the poor.
A few decades ago the sociologist Jonathan Rieder studied
what was then the white working-class neighborhood of Canarsie,
Brooklyn. People there were hostile both to their poorer black
neighbors, who they felt threatened their community, and to the
Manhattan elites, who they felt sold them out from above.
This
climate makes it hard for the establishment candidates who normally
dominate our politics. Jeb Bush is swimming upstream. Hillary Clinton
may win through sheer determination, but she’s not a natural fit for
this moment. A career establishment figure like Joe Biden doesn’t stand a
chance. He’s a wonderful man and a great public servant, but he should
not run for president this year, for the sake of his long-term
reputation.
On
the other hand, bumper-car politicians thrive. Bernie Sanders is
swimming with the tide. He’s a conviction politician comfortable with
class conflict. Many people on the left have a generalized, vague hunger
for fundamental systemic change or at least the atmospherics of radical
change.
The
times are perfect for Donald Trump. He’s an outsider, which appeals to
the alienated. He’s confrontational, which appeals to the frustrated.
And, in a unique 21st-century wrinkle, he’s a narcissist who
thinks he can solve every problem, which appeals to people who in
challenging times don’t feel confident in their understanding of their
surroundings and who crave leaders who seem to be.
When
Trump is striking populist chords, he appeals to people who experience
this invisibility. He appeals to members of the alienated middle class
(like those folks in Canarsie) who believe that neither the rich nor the
poor have to play by the same rules they do. He appeals to people who
are resentful of immigrants who get what they, allegedly, don’t deserve.
In
other words, it’s not that our problems are unsolvable or even hard.
It’s not that we’re potentially a nation in decline. The problem is that
we don’t have a leadership class as smart, competent, tough and
successful as Donald Trump.
Measured in standard political terms he is not ideologically consistent. As Peter Wehner pointed out,
he’s taken so many liberal positions he makes Susan Collins look like
Barry Goldwater. But ego is his ideology, and in this he is absolutely
consistent. In the Trump mind the world is not divided into right and
left. Instead there are winners and losers. Society is led by losers,
who scorn and disrespect the people who are actually the winners.
Never
before have we experienced a moment with so much public alienation and
so much private, assertive and fragile self-esteem. Trump is the perfect
confluence of these trends. He won’t be president, but he’s not an
aberration. He is deeply rooted in the currents of our time.
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