Brexit was very much one of the old against the young. The older the voter, the more he or she was inclined to leave. Some 64 percent of the age group from 18 to 24 said they would vote for Remain; just 35 percent of those between 50 and 64 wanted to stay.
Brexit and Europe’s Angry Old Men
International New York Times | 24 June 2016
Hamburg, Germany — I WAS born in 1973, the year Britain
entered the European Economic Community. And like Britain, I have
always been skeptical about the quasi-religious, ever-closer-union
ideology that gripped so many proponents of the European Union,
especially the anxious old men of my parents’ generation, who swore
that the only alternative to unification was a relapse into nationalism.
And
now this. Just as Europeans of my generation were being relieved of
those anxious old men, another type stepped onstage: the angry old men.
These
politicians — men and women, to be sure — are young enough not to have
experienced world war, but they are old enough to idealize the pre-1989
era and a simpler, pre-globalization world. At the same time, they are
obviously too sclerotic [rigid, inability to adapt] to imagine how democratic institutions can
adjust to the new realities. With their aggressive posturing, these
Nigel Farages, Marine Le Pens, Geert Wilderses and Donald J. Trumps are
driving the debate — and possibly driving the West off a cliff.
“It’s
a victory for ordinary, decent people who have taken on the
establishment,” declared Nigel Farage, the head of the U.K. Independence
Party. Rubbish. It was a victory for people who have neither the guts
nor the imagination to take on the downsides of globalization. Yes,
globalization and Europeanization have taken their tolls, both on
traditional forms of democracy and on traditional job security. But
instead of tackling these problems, the Farages of the world have
started the next ideological war.
There
was a time when I thought the pro-European ideologues were the ones who
were out of touch. I remember, not too long ago, watching one of them
in full flight. It was Martin Schulz, the president of the European
Parliament, giving a speech at a German university. He started by asking
the students in the lecture hall to imagine how many of them would
actually be sitting there if this were the year 1945. About half of you
would be dead, Mr. Schulz said, as his index finger drew a line across
our heads, and many others would be crippled and wounded. Wow, I
thought, what a splendid opening for a debate on the shortcomings of the
European Union.
Even
though Europeans of my age do believe in Europe, the righteous
theatrics of the integrationists were hard to endure. But now our future
is in danger of being taken away by the other extreme, by the maniacs
of disintegration.
A
YouGov poll conducted in the run-up to the British referendum showed
that the vote for Brexit was very much one of the old against the young.
The older the voter, the more he or she was inclined to leave. Some 64
percent of the age group from 18 to 24 said they would vote for Remain;
just 35 percent of those between 50 and 64 wanted to stay.
We
— the young, optimistic millions across Europe — cannot lose the West
to Mr. Farage and his ilk, to demagogues who have actually much more in
common with the scapegoating culture of the Arab world they so despise
than with the enlightened, rational tradition of Europe.
We
can still repair the damage done to democracy in our rush to move
beyond national borders by admitting to the problems. If, for instance,
European internal migrants really have lowered the wages in Britain,
this is a serious problem. But it can be dealt with through, say,
stricter control of the labor market — not abandonment of the entire
framework for European cooperation.
Instead,
migrants and refugees have become the vessel for the charge that the
mighty at the top have unleashed a form of uncontrolled globalization
whose effects will hit the people at the bottom hardest.
Predictably, the German chancellor Angela Merkel’s
welcome-mat policy to refugees, and her insistence that Europe follow
her lead, will be blamed for much of the momentum behind the Leave vote.
And that’s fair. As principally right as her message was, the
chancellor did little to correct the impression that Europe was suddenly
welcoming everyone, and that elites like her didn’t understand the
consequences of their actions.
Yet
it is dangerously foolish to believe that, with or without Ms. Merkel’s
policies, Europe can somehow shut its doors and ignore the pressing
weight of the developing world on its borders — or that European
countries are better positioned to respond individually, rather than as a
unified whole.
The
British vote feels momentous, but we will most likely look back at it
as merely the first in a series of fights for the soul of Europe. The
outpouring of anger and anti-establishment aggression in Europe has only
begun. The next countries where the political bulldozers see their
chances to act out their long-kept lust for demolition are the
Netherlands and France.
We
can no longer think of reconciliation between the opposing views of
destruction and progress. The angry old men will not be mollified, their
xenophobia cannot be controlled or channeled into constructive
cooperation. We, the young, the future of Europe, must push back. Too
much time has been lost already.
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