Paris Peace Accords 23 Oct. 1991

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

[Vietnamization: Military, Occupation, PRK] CIA Intelligence Assessment, 1986 -- CAMBODIA: How Viable the Heng Samrin Regime?


 

Hun Sen ‘Unpredictable and Easily Angered,’ CIA Files Say

The Cambodia Daily | 23 January 2017
..the assessment gives insight into how the CIA viewed Vietnam’s plans to fully hand over power to the People’s Republic of Kampuchea (PRK), led by the same CPP leaders who still rule the country today.

The report says that Vietnam realized its 1985 public pledge to withdraw its forces—estimated at 130,000 to 140,000—from Cambodia by 1990 was “unrealistic” due to the ineptitude of their Cambodian counterparts.

“Development of PRK institutions has been slow and erratic,” the assessment says. “The government is still dominated by Vietnamese advisers, the Army remains politically unreliable and tactically inept.”
As a result, the Vietnamese would have to take covert measures in order to conceal its influence after its withdrawal, it says.
“Hanoi appears to recognize that the PRK’s weakness renders its withdrawal timetable unrealistic, and we believe it will have to use subterfuges, such as incorporating Vietnamese troops into Cambodian units, to conceal its presence beyond 1990,” it says.

“In the meantime, we expect Vietnam to promote aggressively an image that the PRK is making rapid progress toward internal self-sufficiency in hopes of eroding international support for the Cambodian resistance,”

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