Illustration by Andrew Rae |
What the World’s Emptiest International Airport Says About China’s Influence
New York Times Magazine | 13 September 2017
The four-lane
highway leading out of the Sri Lankan town of Hambantota gets so little
traffic that it sometimes attracts more wild elephants than
automobiles. The pachyderms are intelligent — they seem to use the road
as a jungle shortcut — but not intelligent enough, alas, to appreciate
the pun their course embodies: It links together a series of white
elephants, i.e. boondoggles, built and financed by the Chinese. Beyond
the lonely highway itself, there is a 35,000-seat cricket stadium, an
almost vacant $1.5 billion deepwater port and, 16 miles inland, a $209
million jewel known as “the world’s emptiest international airport.”
Mattala
Rajapaksa International Airport, the second-largest in Sri Lanka, is
designed to handle a million passengers per year. It currently receives
about a dozen passengers per day. Business is so slow that the airport
has made more money from renting out the unused cargo terminals for rice
storage than from flight-related activities. In one burst of activity
last year, 350 security personnel armed with firecrackers were deployed
to scare off wild animals, the airport’s most common visitors.
Projects
like Mattala are not driven by local economic needs but by remote
stratagems. When Sri Lanka’s 27-year civil war ended in 2009, the
president at the time, Mahinda Rajapaksa, fixated on the idea of turning
his poor home district into a world-class business and tourism hub to
help its moribund economy. China, with a dream of its own, was happy to
oblige. Hambantota sits in a very strategic location, just a few miles
north of the vital Indian Ocean shipping lane over which more than 80
percent of China’s imported oil travels. A port added luster to the
“string of pearls” that China was starting to assemble all along the
so-called Maritime Silk Road.
Sadly,
no travelers came, only the bills. The Mattala airport has annual
revenues of roughly $300,000, but now it must repay China $23.6 million a
year for the next eight years, according to Sri Lanka’s Transport and
Civil Aviation Ministry. Over all, around 90 percent of the country’s
revenues goes to servicing debt. Even a new president who took office in
2015 on a promise to curb Chinese influence succumbed to financial
reality.
To
relieve its debt crisis, Sri Lanka has put its white elephants up for
sale. In late July, the government agreed to give China control of the
deepwater port — a 70 percent equity stake over 99 years — in exchange
for writing off $1.1 billion of the island’s debt. (China has promised
to invest another $600 million to make the port commercially viable.)
When the preliminary deal was first floated in January, protests erupted
in response to the perceived sell-off of national sovereignty, a
reminder of Sri Lanka’s colonial past under British rule. “We always
thought China’s investments would help our economy,” says Amantha
Perera, a Sri Lankan journalist and university researcher. “But now
there’s a sense that we’ve been maneuvered into selling some of the
family jewels.”
As the United States beats a haphazard retreat from the
world — nixing trade agreements, eschewing diplomacy, antagonizing
allies — China marches on with its unabashedly ambitious
global-expansion program known as One Belt, One Road. The branding is
awkward: “Belt” refers to the land-bound trading route through Central
Asia and Europe, while “Road,” confusingly, stands for the maritime
route stretching from Southeast Asia across the Indian Ocean to the
Middle East, Africa and Europe. Still, the intentions are clear: With a
lending and acquisitions blitz extending to 68 countries (and counting),
OBOR seeks to create the ports, roads and rail and telecommunications
links for a modern-day Silk Road — with all paths leading to China.
Illustration by Andrew Rae |
This
is China’s long game. It’s not about immediate profits; infrastructure
projects are a bad way to make money. So why is President Xi Jinping
fast-tracking OBOR projects amid an economic slowdown at home and a
crackdown on other overseas acquisitions? Economics is a big part: China
wants to secure access to key resources, export its idle industrial
capacity, even tilt the world order in its favor. But there is also a
far greater cultural ambition. For centuries, Western liberalism has
ruled the world. The Chinese believe their time has come. “China sees
itself as a great civilization that needs to regain its status as leader
of the world,” says Kadira Pethiyagoda, a fellow at the Brookings
Institution Doha Center. “And America’s retreat gives China the space to
do that.”
It’s
tempting to see OBOR as a muscled-up Marshall Plan, the American-led
program that helped rebuild Western Europe after World War II. OBOR,
too, is designed to build vital infrastructure, spread prosperity and
drive global development. Yet little of what China offers is aid or even
low-interest lending. Much OBOR financing comes in the form of
market-rate loans that weaker countries are eager to receive — but may
struggle to repay. Even when the projects are well suited for the local
economy, the result can look a bit like a shell game: Things are built,
money goes to Chinese companies and the country is saddled with more
debt. What happens when, as is often the case, infrastructure projects
are driven more by geopolitical ambition or the need to give China’s
state-owned companies something to do? Well, Sri Lanka has an empty
airport for sale.
Sri
Lanka may be a harbinger for debt crises to come. Many other OBOR
countries have taken on huge Chinese loans that could prove difficult to
repay. For example, Chinese banks, according to The Financial Times,
recently lent Pakistan $1.2 billion to stave off a currency crisis —
even as they pledged $57 billion more to develop the China-Pakistan
Economic Corridor. “The projects China proposes are so big and appealing
and revolutionary that many small countries can’t resist,” says Brahma
Chellaney, a professor of strategic studies at New Delhi’s Center for
Policy Research. “They take on loans like it’s a drug addiction and then
get trapped in debt servitude. It’s clearly part of China’s
geostrategic vision.”
This
charge conjures the specter of colonialism, when the British and Dutch
weaponized debt to take control of nations’ strategic assets. China
insists it is nothing like a colonial power. Its appeal to developing
countries, after all, is often based on a shared negative experience of
colonialism — and the desire to have cooperative “win-win” trade and
investment relationships. Unlike Western countries and institutions that
try to influence how developing countries govern themselves, China says
it espouses the principle of noninterference. If local partners benefit
from a new road or port, the Chinese suggest, shouldn’t they be able to
“win,” too — by securing its main trade routes, building loyal
partnerships and enhancing its global prestige?
The last time China
was a global power, back in the early 1400s, it also sought to amplify
its glory and might along the Maritime Silk Road, through the epic
voyages of Zheng He. A towering Ming dynasty eunuch — in some accounts
he stands seven feet tall — Zheng He commanded seven expeditions from
Asia to the Middle East and Africa. When he came ashore on Ceylon
(present-day Sri Lanka) around 1406, his fleet commanded shock and awe:
It was a floating city of more than 300 ships and some 30,000 sailors.
Besides seeking tributes and trade — the ships were laden with silk,
gold and porcelain — his mission was to enhance China’s status as the
greatest civilization on earth.
After
Zheng He’s death at sea in 1433, China turned inward for the next six
centuries. Now, as the country has become a global power once again,
Communist Party leaders have revived the legend of Zheng He to show
China’s peaceful intentions and its historical connections to the
region. His goal, they say, was not to conquer — unlike Western empires —
but to establish friendly trade and diplomatic relations. In Sri Lanka
today, Chinese tour groups often traipse through a Colombo museum to see
the trilingual stone tablet the admiral brought here — proof, it seems,
that China respected all peoples and religions. No mention is made of a
less savory aspect of Zheng He’s dealings in Ceylon. On a later
expedition, around 1411, his troops became embroiled in a war. Zheng He
prevailed and took the local king back to China as a prisoner.
The
unsanitized version of Zheng He’s story may contain a lesson for
present-day China about unintended consequences. Pushing countries
deeper into debt, even inadvertently, may give China leverage in the
short run, but it risks losing the good will essential to OBOR’s
long-term success. For all the big projects China is engaged in around
the world — high-speed rail in Laos, a military base in Djibouti,
highways in Kenya — arguably its most perilous step so far may be taking
control of the foundering Hambantota port. “It’s folly to take equity
stakes,” says Joshua Eisenman, an assistant professor at the University
of Texas at Austin. “China will have to become further entwined in local
politics. And what happens if the country decides to deny a permit or
throw them out. Do they retreat? Do they protect?” China promotes itself
as a new, gentler kind of power, but it’s worth remembering that
dredging deepwater ports and laying down railroad ties to secure new
trade routes — and then having to defend them from angry locals — was
precisely how Britain started down the slippery slope to empire.
Brook Larmer is a contributing writer for the magazine. His last article was about a Chinese-owned uranium mine in Namibia.
Cambodia is getting a lot of empty-investments from China to beef up the statistic. Empty-investments are the investments which generate very few decent paying jobs.
ReplyDeleteLook at the high-tech manufacturing plants in Vietnam with the real investments from South Korea. And the Vietnamese workers there are much better off.
Do an image-google, "Vietnam Samsung workers" and see for yourself. See how better off the Vietnamese workers there?
Btw, let's do an image-google for "Cambodia garment workers". Oh my God, it's so sad.
" Look at the high-tech manufacturing plants in Vietnam "
DeleteHow about Formosa Plastics Group’s steel plant in Vietnam !!!