Everybody is weighing in on the strengths and weaknesses of the Obama strategy. But the strategy will change. The crucial factor is the man. [Cambodians, replace "Obama" with "Sam Rainsy"]
The Reluctant Leader
International New York Times | 11 September 2014
Moses,
famously, tried to get out of it. When God called on him to lead the
Israelites, Moses threw up a flurry of reasons he was the wrong man for
the job: I’m a nobody; I don’t speak well; I’m not brave.
But the job was thrust upon him. Though he displayed some of the traits you’d expect from a guy who would rather be back shepherding (passivity, whining), he became a great leader. He became the ultimate model for reluctant leadership.
The
Bible is filled with reluctant leaders, people who did not choose power
but were chosen for it — from David to Paul. The Bible makes it clear
that leadership is unpredictable: That the most powerful people often
don’t get to choose what they themselves will do. Circumstances thrust
certain responsibilities upon them, and they have no choice but to take
up their assignment.
History
is full of reluctant leaders, too. President Obama is the most recent.
He recently gave a speech on the need to move away from military force.
He has tried to pivot away from the Middle East. He tried desperately to
avoid the Syrian civil war.
But
as he said in his Nobel Peace Prize lecture, “Evil does exist in the
world.” No American president could allow a barbaric caliphate to
establish itself in the middle of the Middle East.
Obama is compelled as a matter of responsibility to override his inclinations. He’s obligated to use force, to propel himself back into the Middle East, to work with rotten partners like the dysfunctional Iraqi Army and the two-faced leaders of Qatar. He’s compelled to provide functional assistance to the rancid Syrian regime by attacking its enemies.
The
defining characteristic of a reluctant leader is that he is
self-divided. He feels compelled to do things he’d rather not do. This
self-division can come in negative and positive forms.
The
unsuccessful reluctant leader isn’t really motivated to perform the
tasks assigned to him. The three essential features of political
leadership, Max Weber wrote, are passion, responsibility and judgment.
The unsuccessful reluctant leader is passionless. His actions are
halfhearted. Look at President Obama’s decision to surge troops into
Afghanistan at the same instant he announced their withdrawal date.
That’s a reluctant leader undercutting himself. If Obama approaches this
campaign that way then he will withdraw as soon as the Iraqi government
stumbles, or the Iraqi Army fails to defeat the Islamic State in Iraq
and Syria on the ground.
The
successful reluctant leader, on the other hand, is fervently motivated
by his own conscience. He forces himself to embrace the fact that while
this is not the destiny he would have chosen, it is his duty and he will
follow it to the end.
This
kind of reluctant leader has some advantages over a full-throated,
unreluctant crusader. Unlike George W. Bush in 2003, he’s not carried
away by righteous fervor. The successful reluctant leader can be
selfless. He’s not doing the work because it’s the expression of his
inner being. He’s just an instrument for the completion of a nasty job.
The reluctant leader can be realistic
about goals. President Obama can be under no illusions that he is going
to solve the Middle East’s fundamental problems, but at least he can
degrade ISIS the way we degraded Al Qaeda. Sometimes just preventing
something bad — like the fall of the Jordanian regime — is noble enough,
even if negative victories don’t exactly get you in the history books.
The reluctant leader can be skeptical.
There’s a reason President Obama didn’t want to get involved in this
conflict. Our power to manage history in the region is limited. But
sometimes a reluctant leader can make wise decisions precisely because
he’s aware of his limitations. If you’re going to begin a military
campaign in an Arab country, you probably want a leader who’d rather not
do it.
The reluctant leader can be dogged.
Sometimes when you’re engaged in an unpleasant task, you just put your
head down and trudge relentlessly forward. You don’t have to worry about
coming down from prewar euphoria because you never felt good about this
anyway.
The reluctant leader can be collaborative.
He didn’t want his task, so he’s eager to share it. The Arab world can
fully trust that Obama doesn’t have any permanent designs on their
region because the guy is dying to wash his hands of the whole place as
soon as possible.
Everybody
is weighing in on the strengths and weaknesses of the Obama strategy.
But the strategy will change. The crucial factor is the man. This is the
sternest test of Obama’s leadership skills since the early crises of
his presidency. If he sticks to this self-assigned duty, and pursues it
doggedly, he can be a successful reluctant leader. Sometimes the hardest
victories are against yourself.
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